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Sectional Predictor

All games assume a neutral field. Massey, CalPreps, and Composite use current-season ratings; Sagarin also supports historical seasons. Leave a team blank for a bye.

Quarter-Final 1

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Quarter-Final 2

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Quarter-Final 3

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Quarter-Final 4

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2026 Sectional Championship Probabilities

Current composite ratings and scoring averages, using the October 11 draw. All possible paths through each bracket are included, including byes. All games assume a neutral field (no home-field advantage).

First round: October 23. Semifinals: October 30. Finals: November 6. Most Class 6A and 5A teams begin October 30.

Probabilities update with the current ratings. These are pre-tournament forecasts; completed tournament results are not used to eliminate teams. Totals may differ slightly from 100% due to rounding.

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 1

  • Crown Point: 68.14%
  • Merrillville: 30.01%
  • Harrison (West Lafayette): 0.98%
  • Lake Central: 0.88%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 2

  • Penn: 89.63%
  • Elkhart: 6.10%
  • Valparaiso: 4.27%
  • Portage: <0.01%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 3

  • Westfield: 75.08%
  • Carmel: 16.05%
  • Hamilton Southeastern: 8.72%
  • Fishers: 0.15%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 4

  • Carroll (Fort Wayne): 90.61%
  • Homestead: 6.11%
  • Noblesville: 2.66%
  • Fort Wayne Northrop: 0.61%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 5

  • Brownsburg: 94.48%
  • Ben Davis: 2.68%
  • Zionsville: 1.46%
  • Avon: 1.38%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 6

  • Lawrence North: 90.89%
  • Lawrence Central: 4.60%
  • North Central (Indianapolis): 3.81%
  • Pike: 0.70%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 7

  • Warren Central: 95.73%
  • Decatur Central: 2.46%
  • Franklin Central: 1.79%
  • Perry Meridian: 0.02%
  • Southport: <0.01%

CLASS 6A — SECTIONAL 8

  • Center Grove: 98.25%
  • Columbus North: 1.67%
  • Whiteland: 0.08%
  • Jeffersonville: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 9

  • Chesterton: 85.88%
  • Munster: 10.82%
  • Michigan City: 3.29%
  • Hammond Central: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 10

  • Concord: 71.38%
  • South Bend Adams: 24.88%
  • LaPorte: 3.29%
  • Goshen: 0.45%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 11

  • Warsaw: 60.64%
  • Fort Wayne Snider: 39.09%
  • Fort Wayne South: 0.26%
  • Fort Wayne Wayne: 0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 12

  • Lafayette Jeff: 82.73%
  • Huntington North: 16.07%
  • McCutcheon: 1.20%
  • Anderson: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 13

  • Indianapolis Cathedral: 49.22%
  • New Palestine: 46.72%
  • Pendleton Heights: 3.94%
  • Mount Vernon (Fortville): 0.11%
  • Greenfield-Central: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 14

  • Plainfield: 79.84%
  • Terre Haute South: 20.15%
  • Indianapolis Arsenal Tech: <0.01%
  • Terre Haute North: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 15

  • Bloomington South: 95.93%
  • Bloomington North: 4.01%
  • Franklin: 0.06%
  • Seymour: <0.01%

CLASS 5A — SECTIONAL 16

  • Floyd Central: 77.28%
  • Evansville North: 19.87%
  • Castle: 2.85%
  • New Albany: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 17

  • Hobart: 69.22%
  • Lowell: 22.65%
  • Hammond Morton: 8.02%
  • Hanover Central: 0.10%
  • Highland: 0.01%
  • Gary West: <0.01%
  • East Chicago Central: <0.01%
  • Kankakee Valley: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 18

  • Northridge: 72.75%
  • South Bend St. Joseph: 18.52%
  • NorthWood: 6.33%
  • Mishawaka: 1.93%
  • Culver Academy: 0.40%
  • Plymouth: 0.06%
  • South Bend Riley: <0.01%
  • New Prairie: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 19

  • East Noble: 47.75%
  • Fort Wayne Dwenger: 42.42%
  • Columbia City: 6.43%
  • DeKalb: 1.66%
  • Leo: 1.43%
  • Fort Wayne North: 0.31%
  • New Haven: <0.01%
  • Wawasee: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 20

  • Logansport: 77.36%
  • Yorktown: 18.75%
  • Muncie Central: 1.71%
  • Delta: 1.19%
  • Fort Wayne Luers: 0.80%
  • Kokomo: 0.16%
  • Jay County: 0.03%
  • Marion: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 21

  • Indianapolis Chatard: 86.69%
  • Danville: 10.47%
  • Northview: 1.95%
  • Brebeuf Jesuit: 0.86%
  • Lebanon: 0.02%
  • Guerin Catholic: 0.01%
  • Indianapolis Shortridge: <0.01%
  • Frankfort: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 22

  • Indianapolis Roncalli: 94.97%
  • Mooresville: 3.14%
  • Beech Grove: 1.73%
  • Greenwood: 0.14%
  • Connersville: 0.01%
  • Martinsville: <0.01%
  • Richmond: <0.01%
  • Indianapolis Attucks: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 23

  • East Central: 97.33%
  • Shelbyville: 1.52%
  • Columbus East: 0.90%
  • Charlestown: 0.16%
  • Silver Creek: 0.06%
  • Madison: 0.03%
  • Jennings County: <0.01%

CLASS 4A — SECTIONAL 24

  • Evansville Reitz: 79.27%
  • Heritage Hills: 13.16%
  • Jasper: 3.30%
  • Bedford North Lawrence: 2.99%
  • Evansville Harrison: 1.16%
  • Boonville: 0.12%
  • Evansville Central: <0.01%
  • Evansville Bosse: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 25

  • Andrean: 57.32%
  • Griffith: 39.03%
  • Twin Lakes: 3.45%
  • Calumet: 0.20%
  • Benton Central: <0.01%
  • River Forest: <0.01%
  • Hammond Noll: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 26

  • West Noble: 49.24%
  • Angola: 32.51%
  • Tippecanoe Valley: 11.78%
  • Fairfield: 4.02%
  • Jimtown: 1.74%
  • Mishawaka Marian: 0.70%
  • South Bend Washington: <0.01%
  • John Glenn: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 27

  • Bluffton: 75.00%
  • Adams Central: 15.29%
  • Norwell: 4.98%
  • Heritage: 4.71%
  • Garrett: 0.01%
  • Fort Wayne Concordia: 0.01%
  • Woodlan: <0.01%
  • Bellmont: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 28

  • Maconaquah: 48.05%
  • Mississinewa: 33.09%
  • Hamilton Heights: 15.78%
  • West Lafayette: 2.60%
  • Eastbrook: 0.30%
  • Western: 0.17%
  • Northwestern: 0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 29

  • Tri-West: 91.72%
  • Western Boone: 8.20%
  • Speedway: 0.05%
  • North Montgomery: 0.02%
  • Purdue Englewood: 0.01%
  • Indianapolis Washington: <0.01%
  • Crawfordsville: <0.01%
  • Heritage Christian: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 30

  • Lawrenceburg: 81.12%
  • Batesville: 17.80%
  • Franklin County: 0.93%
  • Centerville: 0.11%
  • New Castle: 0.03%
  • Greensburg: 0.02%
  • Rushville: <0.01%
  • South Dearborn: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 31

  • Indian Creek: 95.45%
  • Vincennes Lincoln: 2.70%
  • Sullivan: 1.41%
  • Edgewood: 0.31%
  • Scottsburg: 0.09%
  • Owen Valley: 0.04%
  • Washington: <0.01%

CLASS 3A — SECTIONAL 32

  • Evansville Memorial: 71.22%
  • Evansville Mater Dei: 17.95%
  • Gibson Southern: 10.83%
  • Southridge: <0.01%
  • North Harrison: <0.01%
  • Princeton: <0.01%
  • Mount Vernon (Posey): <0.01%
  • Corydon Central: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 33

  • Wheeler: 73.66%
  • Knox: 17.58%
  • Rensselaer Central: 8.28%
  • LaVille: 0.47%
  • Whiting: <0.01%
  • Lake Station: <0.01%
  • Boone Grove: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 34

  • Eastside: 97.33%
  • Bremen: 1.74%
  • Rochester: 0.56%
  • Lakeland: 0.34%
  • Manchester: 0.02%
  • Prairie Heights: <0.01%
  • Central Noble: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 35

  • Eastern (Greentown): 62.32%
  • Lewis Cass: 19.54%
  • Oak Hill: 15.69%
  • Peru: 1.20%
  • Tipton: 0.86%
  • Seeger: 0.36%
  • Delphi: 0.03%
  • Elwood: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 36

  • Lapel: 92.51%
  • Hagerstown: 5.36%
  • Alexandria: 1.70%
  • Northeastern: 0.30%
  • Shenandoah: 0.10%
  • Winchester: 0.02%
  • Frankton: 0.01%
  • Blackford: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 37

Composite ratings are unavailable for Christel House.

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 38

  • South Putnam: 84.14%
  • Cascade: 14.65%
  • Monrovia: 0.79%
  • North Putnam: 0.40%
  • Greencastle: 0.02%
  • Southmont: 0.01%
  • West Vigo: <0.01%
  • South Vermillion: <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 39

  • Brownstown Central: 98.64%
  • Salem: 1.03%
  • Clarksville: 0.17%
  • Switzerland County: 0.11%
  • Providence: 0.05%
  • Brown County: <0.01%
  • Mitchell: <0.01%
  • Eastern (Pekin): <0.01%

CLASS 2A — SECTIONAL 40

  • North Posey: 90.30%
  • South Spencer: 6.39%
  • Tell City: 1.72%
  • Linton: 1.04%
  • Paoli: 0.55%
  • Pike Central: <0.01%
  • Perry Central: <0.01%
  • Eastern Greene: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 41

  • North Judson: 92.36%
  • West Central: 6.15%
  • Winamac: 1.36%
  • North Newton: 0.09%
  • Bowman Academy: 0.02%
  • Culver: 0.01%
  • South Central (Union Mills): <0.01%
  • Triton: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 42

  • Carroll (Flora): 54.56%
  • Lafayette Central Catholic: 44.44%
  • Clinton Prairie: 0.94%
  • Frontier: 0.05%
  • North White: 0.01%
  • Tri-County: <0.01%
  • Faith Christian: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 43

  • Pioneer: 90.76%
  • Madison-Grant: 5.81%
  • Caston: 2.19%
  • Sheridan: 1.23%
  • Clinton Central: 0.01%
  • Taylor: <0.01%
  • North Miami: <0.01%
  • Tri-Central: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 44

  • South Adams: 79.89%
  • Fremont: 19.47%
  • Northfield: 0.47%
  • Churubusco: 0.13%
  • Fort Wayne Blackhawk: 0.03%
  • Southwood: <0.01%
  • Whitko: <0.01%
  • Southern Wells: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 45

  • Knightstown: 74.34%
  • Wes-Del: 23.02%
  • Tri: 2.48%
  • Monroe Central: 0.16%
  • Union City: <0.01%
  • Cambridge City Lincoln: <0.01%
  • Indianapolis Tindley: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 46

Composite ratings are unavailable for Trinity Lutheran.

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 47

  • Riverton Parke: 90.48%
  • Cloverdale: 9.29%
  • Fountain Central: 0.12%
  • North Central (Farmersburg): 0.06%
  • Parke Heritage: 0.04%
  • North Vermillion: <0.01%
  • Covington: <0.01%
  • Attica: <0.01%

CLASS 1A — SECTIONAL 48

  • North Daviess: 65.74%
  • Tecumseh: 18.82%
  • Springs Valley: 9.13%
  • North Knox: 4.49%
  • West Washington: 1.11%
  • Forest Park: 0.71%
  • Crawford County: <0.01%