Indiana high school football

Football Power Index

Compare the frozen interstate candidate and upcoming predictions

Independent ratings from game results, adjusted for opponent strength and home field. FPI measures points above or below the average of Indiana’s 313 teams.

2026 season · Results through 2026-10-16 · Experimental model

Teams ranked313

Unique games used1359

Estimated home advantage2.11 pts

Find a team Class Conference Sectional

313 teams

Ratings based on fewer than four games have limited evidence: Henryville (3), Wabash (1).

Statewide FPI rankings · 2026
Rank	Team	Class	Record	FPI	Schedule strength
1	South Putnam	2A	9–0	+47.57	+2.73
2	Brownsburg	6A	9–0	+44.21	+15.36
3	Eastern Hancock	2A	9–0	+40.69	+7.01
4	Indianapolis Chatard	4A	7–2	+38.66	+17.95
5	Penn	6A	9–0	+38.24	-0.50
6	Logansport	4A	9–0	+36.03	+5.12
7	East Central	4A	7–2	+35.91	+18.77
8	New Palestine	5A	6–3	+35.69	+16.25
9	Heritage Hills	4A	7–2	+34.33	+0.14
10	Bloomington South	5A	7–2	+33.77	+4.44
11	Lawrence North	6A	7–2	+33.02	+17.95
12	Cascade	2A	8–1	+32.91	-1.01
13	Warren Central	6A	9–0	+32.51	+15.40
14	Westfield	6A	8–1	+32.24	+15.08
15	Brownstown Central	2A	9–0	+32.23	-5.83
16	Carroll (Fort Wayne)	6A	8–1	+31.92	+9.25
17	Northview	4A	8–1	+31.46	+1.68
18	Crown Point	6A	9–0	+30.93	+3.46
19	Indianapolis Roncalli	4A	7–2	+29.54	+20.02
20	Griffith	3A	9–0	+29.47	-2.85
21	Center Grove	6A	7–2	+29.39	+20.97
22	Bluffton	3A	9–0	+28.98	-3.87
23	Lawrenceburg	3A	8–1	+28.53	+1.34
24	Eastside	2A	9–0	+28.47	+0.18
25	Gibson Southern	3A	8–1	+28.45	+2.68
26	Evansville Reitz	4A	8–1	+27.97	+6.99
27	Indian Creek	3A	9–0	+27.91	+1.81
28	Floyd Central	5A	8–1	+27.84	+3.96
29	Pioneer	1A	9–0	+27.77	-2.95
30	Lafayette Jeff	5A	7–2	+27.69	+0.32
31	Evansville Memorial	3A	9–0	+27.66	+7.47
32	East Noble	4A	9–0	+27.31	+7.97
33	Northridge	4A	9–0	+27.27	+6.75
34	Danville	4A	9–0	+26.81	+0.27
35	Lapel	2A	8–1	+26.48	+2.24
36	Riverton Parke	1A	8–0	+26.20	-8.97
37	Decatur Central	6A	8–1	+26.16	+2.45
38	Columbia City	4A	7–2	+25.55	+9.45
39	Carmel	6A	5–4	+25.51	+17.46
40	Milan	1A	7–2	+25.02	-11.70
41	Maconaquah	3A	9–0	+24.82	+0.36
42	Tri-West	3A	7–2	+23.82	+10.06
43	Pendleton Heights	5A	8–1	+23.81	+7.51
44	Andrean	3A	8–1	+23.68	+3.03
45	Indianapolis Cathedral	5A	6–3	+23.28	+6.18
46	Merrillville	6A	8–1	+22.84	+8.23
47	Eastern (Greentown)	2A	9–0	+22.30	-4.73
48	North Judson	1A	8–1	+22.24	-5.42
49	Fort Wayne Dwenger	4A	8–1	+20.82	+9.78
50	South Bend St. Joseph	4A	8–1	+20.74	-2.58
51	Warsaw	5A	8–1	+20.66	+5.25
52	Adams Central	3A	6–3	+19.79	+6.24
53	Yorktown	4A	5–4	+19.59	+7.75
54	DeKalb	4A	6–3	+19.33	+7.61
55	Ben Davis	6A	4–5	+19.28	+19.25
56	Mississinewa	3A	7–1	+19.21	-5.03
57	Hobart	4A	6–3	+19.08	+0.24
58	Knightstown	1A	7–2	+18.84	-11.18
59	Valparaiso	6A	6–3	+17.98	+6.70
60	Indianapolis Lutheran	2A	8–0	+17.83	-12.59
61	North Daviess	1A	9–0	+17.80	-14.23
62	Hammond Morton	4A	5–4	+17.67	-7.85
63	Leo	4A	5–4	+17.21	+9.48
64	Batesville	3A	7–2	+17.13	+5.84
65	Plainfield	5A	7–2	+17.08	+4.23
66	Avon	6A	6–3	+16.82	+18.08
67	Zionsville	6A	7–2	+16.49	+13.89
68	Lowell	4A	6–3	+16.27	+5.63
69	Evansville North	5A	4–5	+16.25	+7.30
70	Columbus North	6A	4–5	+16.17	+14.17
71	Hamilton Heights	3A	6–3	+16.14	+4.29
72	Concord	5A	4–5	+15.80	+5.60
73	Terre Haute South	5A	5–4	+15.71	+12.12
74	North Posey	2A	8–1	+15.58	-2.47
75	Wheeler	2A	8–1	+15.37	-13.84
76	Tippecanoe Valley	3A	8–1	+15.33	+0.74
77	Lewis Cass	2A	6–3	+15.06	-1.99
78	Vincennes Lincoln	3A	6–3	+14.90	+8.16
79	Hagerstown	2A	9–0	+14.74	-12.50
80	Huntington North	5A	5–4	+14.69	+7.38
81	Bremen	2A	6–3	+14.49	-6.10
82	Evansville Mater Dei	3A	7–2	+14.38	+4.44
83	Western Boone	3A	6–3	+13.92	+1.52
84	Jasper	4A	5–4	+13.39	+7.76
85	West Central	1A	8–1	+13.33	-26.39
86	Muncie Central	4A	6–3	+13.24	+0.90
87	Hamilton Southeastern	6A	4–5	+12.93	+17.60
88	Castle	5A	5–4	+12.63	+6.82
89	Heritage	3A	6–3	+12.39	-0.38
90	Charlestown	4A	7–1	+12.31	-3.61
91	Brebeuf Jesuit	4A	5–4	+12.16	+12.85
92	Carroll (Flora)	1A	7–2	+12.04	-2.54
93	West Noble	3A	8–1	+12.02	-1.31
94	South Adams	1A	7–2	+11.75	+0.74
95	Beech Grove	4A	6–3	+11.70	+7.78
96	Fort Wayne Snider	5A	5–4	+11.55	+12.76
97	Tecumseh	1A	8–1	+11.02	-13.95
98	Angola	3A	6–3	+10.98	+3.86
99	Alexandria	2A	6–3	+10.94	-2.33
100	Wes-Del	1A	8–0	+10.93	-31.77
101	Franklin Central	6A	3–6	+10.91	+18.87
102	Guerin Catholic	4A	3–6	+10.81	+12.42
103	Lebanon	4A	4–5	+10.38	+4.26
104	Shelbyville	4A	6–3	+10.36	+3.53
105	Elkhart	6A	6–3	+10.31	+4.92
106	Southridge	3A	5–4	+10.27	+0.87
107	Twin Lakes	3A	6–3	+10.12	-0.96
108	Fort Wayne North	4A	5–4	+9.92	+2.69
109	Mishawaka	4A	6–3	+9.47	+8.07
110	Sheridan	1A	5–4	+9.33	-4.21
111	Caston	1A	7–2	+8.59	-8.97
112	North Decatur	1A	7–2	+8.40	-12.11
113	Sullivan	3A	4–5	+8.37	+3.69
114	Homestead	6A	3–6	+8.37	+16.48
115	Springs Valley	1A	6–3	+8.00	-13.42
116	North Putnam	2A	6–3	+7.69	+4.12
117	Culver Academy	4A	5–4	+7.67	-2.35
118	Kokomo	4A	4–5	+7.62	-1.61
119	South Bend Adams	5A	5–4	+7.50	+4.72
120	Centerville	3A	4–5	+7.38	+4.60
121	Columbus East	4A	5–4	+7.20	+3.15
122	Fremont	1A	6–3	+7.18	-1.50
123	Lawrence Central	6A	3–6	+7.13	+16.56
124	Boonville	4A	6–3	+6.97	-2.38
125	Mooresville	4A	5–4	+6.89	+2.22
126	Edgewood	3A	5–4	+6.54	+7.40
127	Franklin County	3A	5–4	+6.54	+4.66
128	Rensselaer Central	2A	7–2	+6.43	-8.13
129	Delta	4A	4–5	+6.26	+11.47
130	Chesterton	5A	4–5	+6.04	+8.47
131	Bedford North Lawrence	4A	6–3	+5.95	-5.09
132	Fort Wayne Northrop	6A	4–4	+5.86	+9.90
133	NorthWood	4A	5–4	+5.82	+6.20
134	Madison-Grant	1A	7–2	+5.79	-8.90
135	McCutcheon	5A	5–4	+5.68	+8.68
136	Silver Creek	4A	6–3	+5.58	+1.30
137	West Lafayette	3A	2–7	+5.50	+8.19
138	Jimtown	3A	6–3	+5.45	+2.03
139	Norwell	3A	4–5	+5.34	+10.63
140	North Central (Indianapolis)	6A	2–7	+5.31	+19.14
141	Bloomington North	5A	4–5	+4.47	+8.93
142	Eastbrook	3A	5–4	+4.23	-3.46
143	Oak Hill	2A	4–5	+4.22	+3.03
144	Fairfield	3A	5–4	+4.00	+2.23
145	Cloverdale	1A	6–3	+3.78	-1.61
146	Fort Wayne Luers	4A	2–7	+3.74	+10.51
147	Rochester	2A	4–5	+3.64	+0.56
148	Knox	2A	3–6	+3.62	+6.09
149	Northwestern	3A	5–4	+3.61	-0.68
150	Monrovia	2A	3–6	+3.60	+9.85
151	Peru	2A	6–3	+2.94	+2.12
152	Perry Meridian	6A	5–4	+2.74	+3.63
153	Whiteland	6A	3–6	+2.62	+9.61
154	Noblesville	6A	2–7	+2.54	+12.50
155	Tipton	2A	5–4	+2.48	-0.07
156	Hanover Central	4A	6–3	+2.40	-2.96
157	Northeastern	2A	4–5	+2.38	+10.68
158	Winamac	1A	6–3	+2.30	-2.52
159	Seeger	2A	7–2	+2.29	-11.96
160	Salem	2A	5–4	+2.13	-2.72
161	Mount Vernon (Fortville)	5A	5–4	+2.07	+10.12
162	Triton Central	2A	3–6	+2.06	+7.94
163	West Washington	1A	5–4	+2.06	-15.47
164	Evansville Harrison	4A	3–6	+1.29	+5.60
165	Fort Wayne South	5A	3–6	+0.97	+4.98
166	South Spencer	2A	4–5	+0.52	-5.64
167	Pike	6A	0–9	+0.30	+22.17
168	Covenant Christian	2A	7–2	-0.06	-14.36
169	Winchester	2A	5–4	-0.07	-11.78
170	Garrett	3A	3–6	-0.71	+4.33
171	Greenwood	4A	3–6	-0.79	+6.65
172	Munster	5A	4–5	-0.82	+2.57
173	Lake Central	6A	4–5	-0.85	+5.33
174	Greensburg	3A	5–4	-0.89	-2.67
175	Lafayette Central Catholic	1A	3–6	-0.90	+3.11
176	Harrison (West Lafayette)	6A	3–6	-0.91	+12.54
177	Jay County	4A	3–6	-0.92	+2.41
178	Tell City	2A	6–3	-1.13	-7.69
179	Purdue Englewood	3A	8–1	-1.52	-23.30
180	Fountain Central	1A	4–5	-2.01	-9.84
181	Fishers	6A	0–9	-2.06	+21.63
182	Clinton Prairie	1A	5–4	-2.17	-5.97
183	Connersville	4A	4–5	-2.18	+3.42
184	Northfield	1A	5–4	-2.22	-0.05
185	New Castle	3A	3–6	-2.54	+10.51
186	Southmont	2A	4–5	-2.55	-1.61
187	Tri	1A	4–5	-2.56	-10.50
188	Greenfield-Central	5A	2–7	-3.41	+18.67
189	Plymouth	4A	2–7	-3.42	+6.60
190	Franklin	5A	4–5	-3.80	+2.97
191	North Miami	1A	3–6	-4.17	-5.03
192	Indianapolis Ritter	2A	4–5	-4.56	-6.07
193	Calumet	3A	5–4	-5.19	-4.96
194	Western	3A	3–6	-5.33	+5.17
195	South Bend Riley	4A	3–6	-5.48	+1.50
196	North Knox	1A	2–7	-5.53	-2.47
197	Speedway	3A	3–6	-6.20	+3.15
198	Mishawaka Marian	3A	3–6	-6.59	+3.34
199	North Central (Farmersburg)	1A	5–4	-6.62	-5.79
200	Richmond	4A	3–6	-6.74	-6.99
201	Paoli	2A	6–3	-6.84	-19.17
202	LaPorte	5A	2–7	-6.98	+6.05
203	North Newton	1A	6–3	-7.07	-21.99
204	Scottsburg	3A	4–5	-7.14	+1.09
205	Shenandoah	2A	1–8	-7.48	+12.60
206	Madison	4A	5–4	-7.67	-2.43
207	Mount Vernon (Posey)	3A	2–7	-8.27	+3.11
208	Michigan City	5A	1–8	-8.38	+7.04
209	Owen Valley	3A	4–5	-8.39	+3.22
210	Parke Heritage	1A	5–4	-8.40	-12.28
211	Greencastle	2A	4–5	-8.85	+5.96
212	Corydon Central	3A	2–7	-9.04	-0.12
213	South Vermillion	2A	5–4	-9.28	-10.06
214	Manchester	2A	3–6	-9.54	-5.08
215	New Haven	4A	2–7	-9.57	+12.16
216	Seymour	5A	3–6	-9.61	+0.34
217	Lakeland	2A	2–7	-9.77	-0.86
218	Wawasee	4A	1–8	-9.98	+8.66
219	Indianapolis Shortridge	4A	6–3	-10.02	-28.40
220	Fort Wayne Concordia	3A	3–6	-10.34	+2.41
221	Churubusco	1A	3–6	-10.59	+4.84
222	North Montgomery	3A	3–6	-10.63	+0.98
223	Crawfordsville	3A	3–6	-10.71	-0.70
224	Martinsville	4A	0–9	-11.04	+10.65
225	Indianapolis Attucks	4A	3–6	-11.79	-7.45
226	Delphi	2A	4–5	-11.81	-9.17
227	Woodlan	3A	3–6	-11.91	+1.66
228	Clarksville	2A	6–3	-12.07	-23.19
229	John Glenn	3A	1–8	-12.32	+3.40
230	Frankton	2A	2–7	-12.55	+1.14
231	LaVille	2A	3–6	-12.71	+4.91
232	Jeffersonville	6A	2–7	-12.78	+4.70
233	South Dearborn	3A	3–6	-13.00	-0.82
234	Bowman Academy	1A	5–3	-13.02	-18.70
235	Gary West	4A	4–4	-13.08	-4.77
236	Linton	2A	1–8	-13.13	+11.76
237	Culver	1A	3–6	-13.58	-1.63
238	Boone Grove	2A	4–5	-13.65	-8.43
239	Fort Wayne Wayne	5A	1–8	-13.72	+9.54
240	Highland	4A	2–7	-14.04	+3.62
241	Switzerland County	2A	3–6	-14.06	-16.19
242	New Prairie	4A	2–7	-14.37	+2.17
243	Clinton Central	1A	4–5	-14.92	-12.70
244	Goshen	5A	2–7	-15.16	+3.61
245	Park Tudor	2A	5–4	-15.35	-15.55
246	Providence	2A	1–6	-15.39	-1.95
247	Forest Park	1A	4–5	-15.71	-8.46
248	Monroe Central	1A	3–4	-15.80	-17.87
249	Portage	6A	1–8	-16.02	+10.92
250	Indianapolis Scecina	2A	1–8	-16.07	-0.17
251	Fort Wayne Blackhawk	1A	3–6	-16.15	+3.40
252	Frontier	1A	3–6	-16.20	-10.67
253	Hammond Noll	3A	5–4	-16.22	-12.48
254	South Decatur	1A	5–4	-16.64	-18.90
255	Prairie Heights	2A	1–8	-16.64	-1.18
256	River Forest	3A	3–6	-16.91	-5.61
257	Washington	3A	2–7	-18.90	-0.82
258	Whiting	2A	3–6	-19.26	-8.52
259	Covington	1A	2–7	-19.28	-13.31
260	North Vermillion	1A	2–7	-19.40	-8.06
261	New Albany	5A	1–8	-19.43	+6.54
262	North Harrison	3A	1–8	-19.57	-1.88
263	East Chicago Central	4A	3–6	-19.82	-11.70
264	Henryville	1A	1–2	-20.26	-26.75
265	Southwood	1A	2–7	-20.70	-3.81
266	Southport	6A	2–7	-21.42	-2.07
267	Evansville Central	4A	1–8	-21.59	+10.63
268	Wabash	2A	0–1	-21.99	-20.70
269	Bellmont	3A	0–9	-22.32	+13.05
270	Heritage Christian	3A	0–9	-22.92	+7.45
271	North White	1A	4–5	-22.99	-18.36
272	Triton	1A	1–8	-23.93	+0.91
273	Central Noble	2A	1–8	-24.09	-1.73
274	Evansville Bosse	4A	0–9	-24.89	+10.99
275	Jennings County	4A	2–7	-25.37	-2.75
276	Terre Haute North	5A	0–9	-25.50	+12.04
277	Marion	4A	1–8	-26.65	+4.19
278	Eastern Greene	2A	3–6	-27.21	-18.96
279	Indianapolis Arsenal Tech	5A	4–5	-27.39	-17.20
280	Frankfort	4A	0–9	-28.37	+0.52
281	Hammond Central	5A	1–7	-28.52	-8.89
282	Rushville	3A	0–9	-29.40	+8.77
283	Taylor	1A	1–8	-29.70	-6.87
284	West Vigo	2A	0–9	-30.94	+9.62
285	Blackford	2A	1–8	-31.56	+1.14
286	Elwood	2A	2–5	-31.57	-21.90
287	Whitko	1A	0–8	-31.64	+3.55
288	Southern Wells	1A	1–8	-31.67	+2.59
289	Kankakee Valley	4A	0–9	-33.02	+8.45
290	Eastern (Pekin)	2A	2–7	-33.23	-15.78
291	Princeton	3A	1–8	-33.50	+1.18
292	Lake Station	2A	1–8	-33.77	-12.22
293	Trinity Lutheran	U	2–3	-34.10	-28.25
294	Union City	1A	2–7	-35.14	-11.78
295	Mitchell	2A	1–8	-35.94	-11.53
296	Faith Christian	1A	2–7	-36.53	-18.40
297	South Central (Union Mills)	1A	0–9	-36.72	+2.33
298	Perry Central	2A	2–7	-37.57	-11.45
299	Christel House	2A	2–5	-38.08	-31.45
300	Benton Central	3A	1–8	-40.10	-6.22
301	Indianapolis Washington	3A	3–6	-40.58	-20.51
302	Union County	1A	1–8	-41.41	-6.12
303	South Bend Washington	3A	0–9	-44.07	+0.74
304	Edinburgh	1A	3–6	-45.90	-20.91
305	Attica	1A	1–7	-47.41	-19.11
306	Pike Central	2A	0–9	-47.71	-5.72
307	Indianapolis Tindley	1A	0–6	-48.61	-21.19
308	Tri-Central	1A	0–9	-49.43	-9.39
309	Brown County	2A	1–8	-50.12	-18.37
310	Anderson	5A	0–9	-50.87	+1.83
311	Crawford County	1A	0–9	-52.47	-18.13
312	Cambridge City Lincoln	1A	0–9	-54.41	-9.09
313	Tri-County	1A	0–8	-60.28	-22.03

Historical backtests · 2021–2025

Weekly predictions use only earlier results within each season, starting after three weeks. Both teams must have prior results. The same games evaluate the new weighting and the original equal-weight model. Margin error is measured against actual, unmodified scores.

Season	Test games	Current FPI MAE	Original model MAE	Current FPI accuracy	Original accuracy
2021	1201	14.34	14.97	82.5%	79.8%
2022	1227	14.07	14.61	82.4%	81.6%
2023	1223	13.87	14.28	83.7%	82.9%
2024	1223	13.99	14.55	82.3%	81.0%
2025	1219	14.3	14.7	82.9%	81.6%

Historical teams come from each season’s game logs, including programs outside today’s 313-team roster. These retrospective comparisons do not establish calibrated coverage of the uncertainty ranges.

Across 6093 held-out games, the current FPI model has 14.11 points of average margin error and 82.75% winner accuracy. The original model has 14.62 points of error and 81.39% accuracy. Lower margin error and higher accuracy are better.

How to read FPI and how it is calculated

A team at +20 is rated 15 points stronger than a team at +5 on a neutral field. Add the estimated home advantage to the home team’s margin. Schedule strength is the average FPI of opponents in the games used.

The model fits scoring margins using one rating per team and a shared home advantage. Each game counts once; mirrored team logs are deduplicated. Ratings use the previous season’s independently fitted FPI as a modest prior, alongside shrinkage toward average. Current-season results gain influence as games accumulate. The previous season is fitted from its own scores without recursive carryover; new programs start with an average-strength prior. No Sagarin, Massey, or CalPreps rating enters the calculation. Current-season fitting uses games between the 313 roster teams. Outside opponents do not affect this season’s fit. The prior-season FPI remains the independently calculated score-based estimate used in the backtest.

Only completed games on or before the cutoff are used. Forfeits and games with unknown venues are excluded. 1 source rows excluded in this build. Rated-game counts can differ from official records. Teams without eligible games depend on the prior; teams without a previous-season match start at average strength before centering.

The supplied interstate database is archived and reconciled. The selected model excludes outside-roster games from current-season fitting after historical comparison favored the Indiana core. Official records still include all games.

This is an experimental scoring-margin model. Games have full weight through a 84-point margin, then weight decreases as 84 divided by the absolute margin. A 168-point game receives half weight. Margins themselves are not capped. Sparse connections between schedules and large wins can affect statewide rankings; ratings are not championship probabilities. This is an independent project model, unaffiliated with ESPN.

Rolling evaluation: 907 games, starting after three calendar weeks. Each evaluation week is predicted using only earlier games, and both teams must have prior results. Mean absolute margin error: 14.6 points; home-advantage-only baseline: 29.13 points. Winner accuracy: 86.2%. These are current-season checks; completed-season comparisons appear above.

Uncertainty uses an approximate Gaussian posterior with the full weighted schedule matrix, home-field parameter, and both the average-strength and previous-season prior penalties, centered on the 313-team mean. Residual variance is estimated using effective model degrees of freedom. The previous-season prior is treated as fixed; its estimation error is not propagated. Ranges are conditional on these assumptions and do not account for injuries, systematic bias, or changing team strength.